{"id":8882,"date":"2025-02-26T17:55:29","date_gmt":"2025-02-26T17:55:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.wpengine.com\/?post_type=market_insights&#038;p=8882"},"modified":"2025-05-16T09:57:13","modified_gmt":"2025-05-16T09:57:13","slug":"audusd-feb-2025","status":"publish","type":"market_insights","link":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/sv\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/audusd-feb-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Australian CPI Lower than Expected, Bearish Sign for AUDUSD"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Australia\u2019s CPI came in at 2.5% YoY, missing the 2.6% forecast<\/strong> and reinforcing expectations that the RBA will stay on hold.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While a small miss on paper, it shifts the rate outlook slightly dovish\u2014bad news for the Aussie. Traders looking for a bullish catalyst didn\u2019t get one, and AUDUSD is already reacting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Technical Analysis of AUDUSD Daily Chart<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1600\" height=\"859\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/COTD-25.02.27-TA.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-8885\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/COTD-25.02.27-TA.jpg 1600w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/COTD-25.02.27-TA-300x161.jpg 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/COTD-25.02.27-TA-1024x550.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/COTD-25.02.27-TA-768x412.jpg 768w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/COTD-25.02.27-TA-1536x825.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1600px) 100vw, 1600px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Aussie-Dollar was <strong>rejected at the trendline resistance near $0.64<\/strong> and has started rolling over. The lowered CPI gave sellers more reason to step in, keeping AUDUSD pinned below the <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/indicators\/vwap\/\">anchored vWAP<\/a> (blue line, with 1% deviation bands). Those levels have been acting as a ceiling, reinforcing the broader downtrend. Meanwhile, the <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/indicators\/relative-strength-index\/\">RSI<\/a> at 53.92 shows no real bullish momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With price under pressure, $0.6297 is the key support zone. A break below that level could open the door to $0.6200\u2013$0.6141. Bulls need a clean move above 0.64 and through the moving averages to shift the bias, but for now, the sellers are in control.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Outlook: More Downside Unless Fundamentals Change<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The focus now shifts to US data and RBA rhetoric. If the Fed stays firm while the RBA leans dovish, AUDUSD has more room to slide. Traders should watch how price reacts at $0.6297\u2014a breakdown could confirm the next leg lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>You may be interested in:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-alchemy-markets wp-block-embed-alchemy-markets\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"lKlRQEAdVA\"><a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.wpengine.com\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/nvda-q4-2024\/\">NVIDIA (NVDA) Q4 Earnings Preview: AI Boom Fuels Growth Amid Market Volatility<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"&#8220;NVIDIA (NVDA) Q4 Earnings Preview: AI Boom Fuels Growth Amid Market Volatility&#8221; &#8212; Alchemy Markets\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.wpengine.com\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/nvda-q4-2024\/embed\/#?secret=F5K10L9I32#?secret=lKlRQEAdVA\" data-secret=\"lKlRQEAdVA\" width=\"500\" height=\"282\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Australia\u2019s CPI miss at 2.5% squashes hopes of a rate hike. AUDUSD rejects 0.64 and is eyeing $0.6297 support\u2014if that breaks, bears could take full control.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":159,"featured_media":8883,"parent":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","market_insights_categories":[18],"class_list":["post-8882","market_insights","type-market_insights","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","market_insights_categories-chart-of-the-day"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Australian CPI Lower than Expected, Bearish Sign for AUDUSD - Alchemy Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Australia\u2019s CPI miss at 2.5% squashes hopes of a rate hike. 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