{"id":7824,"date":"2025-01-21T09:17:36","date_gmt":"2025-01-21T09:17:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/?post_type=market_insights&#038;p=7824"},"modified":"2025-05-12T12:14:10","modified_gmt":"2025-05-12T12:14:10","slug":"donald-trump-presidency-day-one-fx-markets","status":"publish","type":"market_insights","link":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/sv\/education\/market-insights\/opening-bell\/donald-trump-presidency-day-one-fx-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"A Turbulent Start: Donald Trump\u2019s First Day as President and Its Impact on FX Markets"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p> The inauguration of Donald Trump as the 45th President of the United States was more than a ceremonial affair\u2014it sent ripples across global financial markets. The foreign exchange (FX) market, in particular, experienced a rollercoaster ride of volatility on his first day in office.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Dollar\u2019s Early Tumble<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Before the inauguration even began, the US dollar took a significant hit. Media reports suggested that Trump would hold off on imposing tariffs on his first day, a move that caught markets by surprise. Many traders, heavily positioned in favour of a strong dollar, scrambled to adjust their bets. To make matters worse, US markets were operating with thinner liquidity due to a national holiday, which likely exaggerated the dollar&#8217;s decline.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Executive Orders and Market Reactions<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>As expected, Trump wasted no time signing a flurry of executive orders. Key highlights included:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Creation of the External Revenue Service<\/strong>: This new agency was tasked with collecting tariffs and duties, signalling a clear intent to move towards protectionist trade policies.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Border and Energy Policies<\/strong>: Declaring a national emergency at the border and reversing some of Joe Biden\u2019s green energy measures marked a stark shift in the administration\u2019s priorities.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>However, the markets were not prepared for Trump\u2019s subsequent remarks about imposing a 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico by 1 February. This declaration reversed some of the day\u2019s earlier currency trends. The Canadian dollar (CAD) and Mexican peso (MXN) quickly shed their gains, as the US dollar began to recover.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Broader Implications for Global Currencies<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>By the end of the day, the dollar index (DXY), which tracks the dollar against a basket of other currencies, remained down by about 0.7% from Friday\u2019s close. Market sentiment suggested cautious optimism, as Trump refrained from announcing sweeping universal tariffs in one go. However, uncertainty loomed, particularly for currencies tied to Europe and China, which could be vulnerable to future tariff-related policies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Euro: A Mixed Outlook<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"695\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/EURUSD_2025-01-21_09-06-58_7addf-1-1024x695.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-7829\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/EURUSD_2025-01-21_09-06-58_7addf-1-1024x695.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/EURUSD_2025-01-21_09-06-58_7addf-1-300x204.jpg 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/EURUSD_2025-01-21_09-06-58_7addf-1-768x521.jpg 768w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/EURUSD_2025-01-21_09-06-58_7addf-1-1536x1042.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/EURUSD_2025-01-21_09-06-58_7addf-1-2048x1390.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The euro (EUR) saw some relief amid the day\u2019s market turbulence, but its broader trajectory remains uncertain. Wave 5 of the (C) corrective pattern may have completed, though the main count suggests wave 5 could still be unfolding. Adding to this complex scenario, the euro recently rebounded off the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the previous bull run (September to July 2023). This technical marker indicates potential support, yet the currency\u2019s long-term prospects remain clouded by weaker macroeconomic fundamentals, casting doubt on its ability to achieve a sustained recovery above 1.050.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Lessons from Day One<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump\u2019s first day in office showcased the complexity of navigating market reactions under a new administration. The combination of unexpected announcements, policy reversals, and geopolitical uncertainty created an environment ripe for volatility. For traders, it was a stark reminder of the need for agility in adapting to rapidly changing political and economic landscapes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While Trump\u2019s presidency began with a whirlwind of activity, it set the tone for an era of unpredictability, especially in areas like trade and currency markets. How markets adapt to these changes will depend largely on the administration\u2019s ability to balance bold policy moves with economic stability.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Discover how Donald Trump\u2019s first day as US President shook global FX markets. Explore the dollar&#8217;s early tumble, tariff policies, and euro performance.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":162,"featured_media":7827,"parent":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","market_insights_categories":[17],"class_list":["post-7824","market_insights","type-market_insights","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","market_insights_categories-opening-bell"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>A Turbulent Start: Donald Trump\u2019s First Day as President and Its Impact on FX Markets - Alchemy Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover how Donald Trump\u2019s first day as US President shook global FX markets. 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