{"id":7754,"date":"2025-01-13T21:07:05","date_gmt":"2025-01-13T21:07:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/?post_type=market_insights&#038;p=7754"},"modified":"2025-05-12T12:27:10","modified_gmt":"2025-05-12T12:27:10","slug":"aud-usd-bears-in-control","status":"publish","type":"market_insights","link":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/sv\/education\/market-insights\/elliott-wave\/aud-usd-bears-in-control\/","title":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD Elliott Wave: Bears in Control, But a Reversal Looms?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Executive Summary<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Trend Bias<\/strong>: The AUD\/USD pair is in a <strong>downtrend<\/strong>, in the process of completing a five-wave decline.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Initial Target<\/strong>: The <strong>1.618 Fibonacci extension<\/strong> near <strong>0.6058<\/strong> is a target zone for wave ((iii)).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Resistance to Watch<\/strong>: Above .6500 would be too large of a rally to consider a wave (iv) or wave ((iv)).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Current Elliott Wave Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"677\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/AUDUSD_2025-01-13_14-43-15-1024x677.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-7755\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/AUDUSD_2025-01-13_14-43-15-1024x677.png 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/AUDUSD_2025-01-13_14-43-15-300x198.png 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/AUDUSD_2025-01-13_14-43-15-768x508.png 768w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/AUDUSD_2025-01-13_14-43-15.png 1335w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>4-hour AUD\/USD chart<\/strong> indicates the current Elliott wave count is wave (v) of ((iii)). Aussie is approaching the final stages of wave ((iii)) that, when completed, will invite the largest rally since the early November rally.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The soft target for wave (v) of ((iii)) is .6058, where wave ((iii)) is 1.618 times the length of wave ((i)). This is a common target level for a third wave using the <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/indicators\/fibonacci-extensions\/\">Fibonacci extension tool<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The downward momentum remains strong, but <strong>wave (v) of ((iii))<\/strong> could be nearing exhaustion. The <strong>RSI<\/strong> indicator is in <strong>oversold<\/strong> territory, hinting at a possible bottoming process. This aligns with the <strong>Fibonacci projection<\/strong>, a common reversal zone for terminal waves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Once wave ((iii)) is complete, then we\u2019ll anticipate a rally in wave ((iv)) to carry back up near .6300 and the other previous fourth wave highs. We can fine tune the target for a wave ((iv)) rally by applying the 38.2% <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/indicators\/fibonacci-retracement\/\">Fibonacci retracement tool<\/a> for wave ((iii)) once it is completed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bottom Line<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>We\u2019ve been anticipating a decline for Aussie in Q1 2025. AUD\/USD remains in a <strong>clear bearish trend<\/strong>, with wave (v) of ((iii)) likely heading toward the <strong>0.6058 region<\/strong>. However, oversold conditions suggest that traders should watch for potential reversal signs near this level. A corrective rally could push the price towards <strong>0.6291<\/strong>, but a break above that is needed to confirm a <strong>larger recovery<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>You might also be interested in\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-alchemy-markets wp-block-embed-alchemy-markets\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"Lh4fdolZJD\"><a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/quarterly-forecast\/q1-2025-forex-us-dollar-looking-for-top\/\">Q1 2025 Forex Forecast: US Dollar Looking For A Top<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"&#8220;Q1 2025 Forex Forecast: US Dollar Looking For A Top&#8221; &#8212; Alchemy Markets\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/quarterly-forecast\/q1-2025-forex-us-dollar-looking-for-top\/embed\/#?secret=DxfkVeHDJn#?secret=Lh4fdolZJD\" data-secret=\"Lh4fdolZJD\" width=\"500\" height=\"282\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD Elliott Wave analysis shows a bearish trend targeting 0.6058. Watch for a potential reversal and corrective rally towards 0.6291.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":160,"featured_media":7759,"parent":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","market_insights_categories":[16],"class_list":["post-7754","market_insights","type-market_insights","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","market_insights_categories-elliott-wave"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>AUD\/USD Elliott Wave: Bears in Control, But a Reversal Looms? - Alchemy Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"AUD\/USD Elliott Wave analysis shows a bearish trend targeting 0.6058. Watch for a potential reversal and corrective rally towards 0.6291.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/sv\/education\/market-insights\/elliott-wave\/aud-usd-bears-in-control\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"AUD\/USD Elliott Wave: Bears in Control, But a Reversal Looms? - Alchemy Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"AUD\/USD Elliott Wave analysis shows a bearish trend targeting 0.6058. Watch for a potential reversal and corrective rally towards 0.6291.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/elliott-wave\/aud-usd-bears-in-control\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Alchemy Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-05-12T12:27:10+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/audusd-featured-image-bears2-jan-13-2025.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1792\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1024\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Ber\u00e4knad l\u00e4stid\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"2 minuter\" \/>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"AUD\/USD Elliott Wave: Bears in Control, But a Reversal Looms? - Alchemy Markets","description":"AUD\/USD Elliott Wave analysis shows a bearish trend targeting 0.6058. Watch for a potential reversal and corrective rally towards 0.6291.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/sv\/education\/market-insights\/elliott-wave\/aud-usd-bears-in-control\/","og_locale":"sv_SE","og_type":"article","og_title":"AUD\/USD Elliott Wave: Bears in Control, But a Reversal Looms? - Alchemy Markets","og_description":"AUD\/USD Elliott Wave analysis shows a bearish trend targeting 0.6058. Watch for a potential reversal and corrective rally towards 0.6291.","og_url":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/elliott-wave\/aud-usd-bears-in-control\/","og_site_name":"Alchemy Markets","article_modified_time":"2025-05-12T12:27:10+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1792,"height":1024,"url":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/audusd-featured-image-bears2-jan-13-2025.png","type":"image\/png"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Ber\u00e4knad l\u00e4stid":"2 minuter"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/elliott-wave\/aud-usd-bears-in-control\/","url":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/elliott-wave\/aud-usd-bears-in-control\/","name":"AUD\/USD Elliott Wave: Bears in Control, But a Reversal Looms? - Alchemy Markets","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/elliott-wave\/aud-usd-bears-in-control\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/elliott-wave\/aud-usd-bears-in-control\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/audusd-featured-image-bears2-jan-13-2025.png","datePublished":"2025-01-13T21:07:05+00:00","dateModified":"2025-05-12T12:27:10+00:00","description":"AUD\/USD Elliott Wave analysis shows a bearish trend targeting 0.6058. Watch for a potential reversal and corrective rally towards 0.6291.","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/elliott-wave\/aud-usd-bears-in-control\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"sv-SE","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/elliott-wave\/aud-usd-bears-in-control\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"sv-SE","@id":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/elliott-wave\/aud-usd-bears-in-control\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/audusd-featured-image-bears2-jan-13-2025.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/audusd-featured-image-bears2-jan-13-2025.png","width":1792,"height":1024},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/elliott-wave\/aud-usd-bears-in-control\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Market Insights","item":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"AUD\/USD Elliott Wave: Bears in Control, But a Reversal Looms?"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/#website","url":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/","name":"Alchemy Markets","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"sv-SE"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_insights\/7754","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_insights"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/market_insights"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/160"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7754"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7759"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7754"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"market_insights_categories","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_insights_categories?post=7754"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}