{"id":7625,"date":"2025-01-09T11:07:47","date_gmt":"2025-01-09T11:07:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/?post_type=market_insights&#038;p=7625"},"modified":"2025-05-12T12:33:33","modified_gmt":"2025-05-12T12:33:33","slug":"sp500-jan-2024","status":"publish","type":"market_insights","link":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/sv\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/sp500-jan-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"S&amp;P 500 Not Looking Good: Rising Wedge with More RSI Downside"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 has seen a break of a <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/strategies\/rising-wedge-pattern\/\">Rising Wedge<\/a> pattern on the daily timeframe, which spells disaster for investors on the asset as the target of the falling wedge goes all the way down to $5,090.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Paired with hawkish expectations from the Fed, the asset is currently trailing below the lower trendline of the rising wedge, and forming a <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/strategies\/symmetrical-triangle-pattern\/\">Symmetrical Triangle<\/a> pattern which has a slight bias to the downside (in this context).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There are several confluences that line the S&amp;P 500\u2019s next major move to be towards the $5,648.4 price zone \u2013 so let\u2019s get into it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Daily Timeframe Analysis of the S&amp;P 500<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The S&amp;P 500, or US500 index, saw a break of its rising wedge pattern in December last year. Though the breakdown candle was quickly filled, the asset was simply performing a retest of the rising wedge pattern, successfully confirming the pattern.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Currently, however, a new Symmetrical Triangle has emerged with <strong>upside targets to $6,281.2 <\/strong>and <strong>downside targets to $5,592.2<\/strong> \u2013 approximately. Keep in mind these measured move targets will change depending on when the price breaks the pattern.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2433\" height=\"1306\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/US500_2025-01-09_18-55-01.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-7628\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/US500_2025-01-09_18-55-01.png 2433w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/US500_2025-01-09_18-55-01-300x161.png 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/US500_2025-01-09_18-55-01-1024x550.png 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/US500_2025-01-09_18-55-01-768x412.png 768w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/US500_2025-01-09_18-55-01-1536x825.png 1536w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/US500_2025-01-09_18-55-01-2048x1099.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2433px) 100vw, 2433px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>As of now, the sentiment is bearish due to a combination of factors:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Presence and successful retest of a <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/strategies\/rising-wedge-pattern\/\">Rising Wedge pattern<\/a> (Bearish reversal pattern).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Daily <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/indicators\/relative-strength-index\/\"><strong>RSI<\/strong><\/a> still has room to go before reaching 30 (Oversold region).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Alignment of support zones at $5,648.4, where the 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement lay.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Though we cannot be 100% certain the price will reach lower prices due to this symmetrical triangle pattern, this recent price development marks out several key zones for us to watch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td><strong>Price Zone<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Explanation<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Pivot Area<\/td><td>($5,839.2 \u2013 $5,882.3) Acts as support.If broken, could send us to lower targets at ~38.20% Fib.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Pivot Area + 38.2% Fib<\/td><td>($5,627.6 \u2013 $5,712.0) Acts as <strong>key support <\/strong>at least for a minor bounce.Aligns with 38.2% Fib at $5,648.40 and the Symmetrical Triangle\u2019s breakout target.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Pivot Area + 61.80% Fib<\/td><td>($5,328.3 \u2013 $5,412.7) Acts as<strong> key support<\/strong> for a major bounce.Aligns with 61.8% Fib at $5,327.60.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Wedge Low<\/td><td>($5,090) The measured move target of the rising wedge pattern. Aligns closely to the $5,000 psychological price zone.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Closing Thoughts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>As we await the FOMC meeting and Fed Fund decision on January 29th, 2025, the S&amp;P 500 could simply just range within the triangle or even between the All-Time High area ($6,040 \u2013 $6,097) and the Pivot Area ($5,839.2 \u2013 $5,882.3) before we see a decisive move.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, it\u2019s important to consider how the S&amp;P 500 could break down first, trail towards the 38.20% Fib Area and then see a reversal due to surprising announcements\/ dovish tones from the Fed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A hawkish tone on the other hand, would supplement the bearish narrative, potentially sending S&amp;P 500 towards the 61.80% area.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>You may also be interested in:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-alchemy-markets wp-block-embed-alchemy-markets\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"yEsnVgK05I\"><a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/energy-market-iranian-oil\/\">Energy Market Update: Challenges for Iranian Oil and Rising Gold Demand<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"&#8220;Energy Market Update: Challenges for Iranian Oil and Rising Gold Demand&#8221; &#8212; Alchemy Markets\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/energy-market-iranian-oil\/embed\/#?secret=GVeEMcupdP#?secret=yEsnVgK05I\" data-secret=\"yEsnVgK05I\" width=\"500\" height=\"282\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The S&amp;P 500 isn\u2019t looking healthy right now. Dive into the technical analysis with this early January 2025 analysis.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":159,"featured_media":7626,"parent":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","market_insights_categories":[18],"class_list":["post-7625","market_insights","type-market_insights","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","market_insights_categories-chart-of-the-day"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>S&amp;P 500 Not Looking Good: Rising Wedge with More RSI Downside - Alchemy Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The S&amp;P 500 isn\u2019t looking healthy right now. 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