{"id":6772,"date":"2024-11-22T09:37:21","date_gmt":"2024-11-22T09:37:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/?post_type=market_insights&#038;p=6772"},"modified":"2025-05-13T06:59:34","modified_gmt":"2025-05-13T06:59:34","slug":"sp500-nov-2024","status":"publish","type":"market_insights","link":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/sv\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/sp500-nov-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Can S&amp;P 500 Continue Higher in its Broadening Wedge Pattern?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 has recently seen a significant surge due to Nvidia\u2019s better-than-expected earnings report, surprising the markets and pushing the index higher by 0.50% on Thursday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With this positive earnings report, can S&amp;P 500 continue higher after tapping the long talked about $6,000 price level?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Broader View Shows the S&amp;P 500 In a Broadening Wedge<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\" id=\"wp-block-themeisle-blocks-image-d4761970\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1600\" height=\"844\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/COTD-24.11.22-TA.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6773\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/COTD-24.11.22-TA.jpg 1600w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/COTD-24.11.22-TA-300x158.jpg 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/COTD-24.11.22-TA-1024x540.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/COTD-24.11.22-TA-768x405.jpg 768w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/COTD-24.11.22-TA-1536x810.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1600px) 100vw, 1600px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite the bullish year that 2024 has been for the S&amp;P 500, the weekly chart shows a developing broadening wedge starting from April.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This highlights a possibility that S&amp;P 500 could be temporarily topped out. If this is the case, then a retracement to the Weekly EMA 20 or EMA 50 is possible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Lending more credibility to the broadening wedge idea, the Weekly Stochastic RSI is also signalling a bearish divergence \u2013 which is a sign of weakening bullish momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Alternative View: <\/strong>The S&amp;P 500 is in a <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/strategies\/rising-wedge-pattern\/\">rising wedge pattern<\/a>, also a bearish reversal pattern.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Does the S&amp;P 500 have technical reasons to drop lower?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\" id=\"wp-block-themeisle-blocks-image-54cce2b3\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1600\" height=\"845\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/COTD-24.11.22-TA-2.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6775\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/COTD-24.11.22-TA-2.jpg 1600w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/COTD-24.11.22-TA-2-300x158.jpg 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/COTD-24.11.22-TA-2-1024x541.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/COTD-24.11.22-TA-2-768x406.jpg 768w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/COTD-24.11.22-TA-2-1536x811.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1600px) 100vw, 1600px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Going down to the daily timeframe, we can see a significant <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/indicators\/fibonacci-retracement\/\">Bearish Fibonacci Retracement<\/a> come into play. The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement is placed at $5,951.6, and is a major resistance level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>If the daily price is unable to close above this Golden Fibonacci retracement level, <\/strong>or closes above it then immediately loses it \u2013 it could spell some temporary downside for the index.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, this is by no means calling for a major top on the S&amp;P 500, as the index has several key support levels to break before traders begin to consider a prolonged downtrend:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Weekly EMA 20 around $5,683.20<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Weekly EMA 50 around $5,348.40<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Lower Broadening Wedge Trendline around $5,350<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>If the daily price closes above $5,953.70 and holds above, <\/strong>then further continuation is likely \u2013 and the price could retest the upper trendline of the wedge at approximately $6,100 to $6,200.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why the Nvidia Earnings Report isn\u2019t As Bullish As You Think<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite showing remarkable growth and <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/opening-bell\/nvda-riding-the-ai-wave\/\">EPS overshooting predictions by 8.66%<\/a>, the Nvidia Earnings are not as bullish as you think. The last four earnings reports illustrate a clear slowdown in Nvidia\u2019s growth, suggesting the company may be reaching a bottleneck in their growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This may incentivise investors to place their funds elsewhere, leading to a price decline on NVDA, which subsequently puts pressure on the S&amp;P 500.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td>Quarter<\/td><td>Year-over-Year Growth (Revenue)<\/td><td>Year-over-Year Growth (Net Income)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Q4 FY2024 (Jan 2024)<\/td><td>265%<\/td><td>769%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Q1 FY2025 (Apr 2024)<\/td><td>261%<\/td><td>780%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Q2 FY2025 (Jul 2024)&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/td><td>122%<\/td><td>174%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Q3 FY2025 (Oct 2024)<\/td><td>94%<\/td><td>109%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>We did an analysis on Nvidia Stock yesterday, which lays out <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/opening-bell\/nvda-riding-the-ai-wave\/\">possible scenarios for NVDA in the coming days<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Closing Thoughts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Nvidia\u2019s earning reports may serve more as a cautionary sign, rather than a bullish one.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>S&amp;P 500 is currently facing resistance at the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement ($5,953.70).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the index closes above the level, a test of the upper trendline in the Broadening Wedge is possible ($6,100 \u2013 $6,200).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If the index closes below, a test of the weekly EMA 20 would be critical in gauging the bullish trend\u2019s strength.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>You may also be interested in:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-alchemy-markets wp-block-embed-alchemy-markets\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"9rYs2sAAYm\"><a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/weekly-outlook\/cpi-and-nvidias-next-move\/\">Chips and CPI: Crunching Numbers and NVIDIA&#8217;s Next Move<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"&#8220;Chips and CPI: Crunching Numbers and NVIDIA&#8217;s Next Move&#8221; &#8212; Alchemy Markets\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/weekly-outlook\/cpi-and-nvidias-next-move\/embed\/#?secret=7wViYla5MI#?secret=9rYs2sAAYm\" data-secret=\"9rYs2sAAYm\" width=\"500\" height=\"282\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nvidia\u2019s earnings boosted the S&amp;P 500 by 0.50%, but technicals hint at resistance near $5,953.70. Will it break higher or retrace to key support levels?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":159,"featured_media":6779,"parent":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","market_insights_categories":[18],"class_list":["post-6772","market_insights","type-market_insights","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","market_insights_categories-chart-of-the-day"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Can S&amp;P 500 Continue Higher in its Broadening Wedge Pattern? - Alchemy Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Nvidia\u2019s earnings boosted the S&amp;P 500 by 0.50%, but technicals hint at resistance near $5,953.70. 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