{"id":19974,"date":"2026-01-06T14:32:48","date_gmt":"2026-01-06T14:32:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/?post_type=market_insights&p=19974"},"modified":"2026-01-06T14:32:48","modified_gmt":"2026-01-06T14:32:48","slug":"us-dollar-recovers-as-markets-calm-after-venezuela-operation","status":"publish","type":"market_insights","link":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/sv\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/us-dollar-recovers-as-markets-calm-after-venezuela-operation\/","title":{"rendered":"US Dollar Recovers as Markets Calm After Venezuela Operation"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Just over two days after the US military operation in Venezuela<\/strong>, the currency markets are showing little lasting reaction<\/strong>. The initial rush to the US dollar<\/strong> \u2014 a typical safe haven during global tensions \u2014 faded quickly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Why? Because there are early signs of dialogue<\/strong> between the US government<\/strong> and Delcy Rodr\u00edguez<\/strong>, who has taken over leadership in Venezuela after Nicol\u00e1s Maduro. This has made investors believe that another US military move is unlikely in the near future<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Short-Term Dollar Outlook: Slightly Positive<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Right now, the overall impact of the Venezuela situation on the US dollar looks neutral to slightly positive<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  • There\u2019s still\u00a0some geopolitical risk<\/strong>, but it\u2019s not big enough to threaten US interests or global oil markets.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • In the\u00a0medium term<\/strong>, though, the dollar could\u00a0weaken<\/strong>\u00a0if markets start to believe that\u00a0oil supplies will increase<\/strong>, pushing\u00a0crude prices lower<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    Equity Markets and Economic Data Influence<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

    Stock markets performed surprisingly well<\/strong> yesterday, even with the geopolitical tensions. That strong performance was a major reason<\/strong> the dollar\u2019s early gains faded.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Economic data also played a role. The US ISM manufacturing index<\/strong> fell below 48 in December<\/strong>, marking its fourth straight monthly drop<\/strong> and reaching the lowest level since October 2024<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    This report shows that:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \n
    • Factory activity is shrinking<\/strong>, not growing.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • The\u00a0backlog of orders<\/strong>\u00a0fell to\u00a045.8<\/strong>, meaning fewer new orders are coming in.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • That could lead to\u00a0excess inventory<\/strong>\u00a0and possibly\u00a0job losses<\/strong>\u00a0in the months ahead.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

      What\u2019s Next for the Economy<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

      These weak manufacturing numbers could set a softer tone<\/strong> for the ISM Services report<\/strong> that\u2019s due out tomorrow.
      Today\u2019s US economic calendar is fairly quiet \u2014 it only includes the final S&P PMIs for December<\/strong>, which aren\u2019t expected to move markets much.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      On the Federal Reserve<\/strong> side, two members will speak today:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        \n
      • Barkin<\/strong>, who usually leans\u00a0hawkish<\/strong>\u00a0(supports higher interest rates), and<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • Miran<\/strong>, who\u2019s considered an\u00a0ultra-dove<\/strong>\u00a0(prefers lower rates) and is a\u00a0voting member<\/strong>\u00a0of the Fed this year.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

        Bottom Line: Dollar Still Facing Downward Pressure<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
        \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

        Even though the dollar bounced back quickly after its brief safe-haven rally, we still think the\u00a0medium-term bias is bearish<\/strong>\u00a0\u2014 meaning the\u00a0dollar could weaken a bit<\/strong>\u00a0in the near future into 97.000 support level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        \n\n\n\n

        In short:<\/strong>
        Markets have largely moved on from the Venezuela news. Stocks are steady, oil hasn\u2019t been shaken, and economic data suggests a slowdown in US manufacturing. With no major escalation expected, investors aren\u2019t rushing to the dollar for safety anymore.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        \n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Markets have quickly stabilized after the US military operation in Venezuela, as easing tensions and weak US manufacturing data pull the dollar back from its brief safe-haven rally.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":162,"featured_media":19981,"parent":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","market_insights_categories":[18],"class_list":["post-19974","market_insights","type-market_insights","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","market_insights_categories-chart-of-the-day"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nUS Dollar Recovers as Markets Calm After Venezuela Operation - Alchemy Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Just days after the US military operation in Venezuela, the dollar\u2019s safe-haven surge has faded amid improving diplomatic signals and weak US manufacturing data, keeping the near-term outlook for the dollar neutral to slightly bearish.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/sv\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/us-dollar-recovers-as-markets-calm-after-venezuela-operation\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"US Dollar Recovers as Markets Calm After Venezuela Operation - 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