{"id":6112,"date":"2024-10-08T10:27:46","date_gmt":"2024-10-08T10:27:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/?post_type=market_insights&#038;p=6112"},"modified":"2025-05-13T10:34:06","modified_gmt":"2025-05-13T10:34:06","slug":"rbnz-rate-cut-showdown","status":"publish","type":"market_insights","link":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/it\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/rbnz-rate-cut-showdown\/","title":{"rendered":"RBNZ Rate Cut Showdown"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"794\" height=\"575\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/nzd-vs-interest-rate.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6086\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/nzd-vs-interest-rate.jpeg 794w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/nzd-vs-interest-rate-300x217.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/nzd-vs-interest-rate-768x556.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 794px) 100vw, 794px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Data Source: Trading Economics and Yahoo Finance<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) gears up for its much-anticipated monetary policy decision tomorrow, all eyes are on the likelihood of a 50-basis point (bp) rate cut. With markets leaning heavily toward this outcome, traders are pricing in about 45bp for this meeting and 91bp by year-end.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The RBNZ is operating with limited fresh data, relying mostly on the second-quarter GDP report showing negative growth, which may justify the need for further easing. However, this rate cut would come without third-quarter inflation figures in hand, raising concerns about the RBNZ\u2019s confidence in the disinflationary process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"695\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/NZDUSD_2024-10-08_11-17-04_ae691-1024x695.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6113\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/NZDUSD_2024-10-08_11-17-04_ae691-1024x695.png 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/NZDUSD_2024-10-08_11-17-04_ae691-300x203.png 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/NZDUSD_2024-10-08_11-17-04_ae691-768x521.png 768w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/NZDUSD_2024-10-08_11-17-04_ae691-1536x1042.png 1536w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/NZDUSD_2024-10-08_11-17-04_ae691-2048x1389.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>On the technical side, NZD\/USD is teetering around the key support level we highlighted earlier, now hovering near 0.6119. Whether the pair bounces off this level or breaks lower may depend more on the US dollar&#8217;s strength than the RBNZ\u2019s actions. Last week&#8217;s signals from the Fed about their gradual rate-cutting stance have boosted the dollar, adding pressure on NZD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As we approach the decision, the question remains: will the Kiwi find a floor at support, or will it slide further? Much hinges on how aggressively the RBNZ moves and where the broader USD heads from here.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is poised for a pivotal 50bp rate cut, sparking questions about its impact on the NZD\/USD and broader economic trends.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":162,"featured_media":6115,"parent":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","market_insights_categories":[18],"class_list":["post-6112","market_insights","type-market_insights","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","market_insights_categories-chart-of-the-day"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>RBNZ Rate Cut Showdown - Alchemy Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"RBNZ expected to cut rates by 50bp\u2014what it means for inflation, the NZD\/USD, and the economic outlook as markets brace for the decision.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/it\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/rbnz-rate-cut-showdown\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"it_IT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"RBNZ Rate Cut Showdown - 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