{"id":3051,"date":"2024-06-04T07:27:55","date_gmt":"2024-06-04T07:27:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/?post_type=market_insights&#038;p=3051"},"modified":"2025-05-15T14:04:55","modified_gmt":"2025-05-15T14:04:55","slug":"news-week-ahead-june-2024","status":"publish","type":"market_insights","link":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/it\/education\/market-insights\/opening-bell\/news-week-ahead-june-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"DXY Breaking Parallel Channel, High Impact News Week Ahead"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1600\" height=\"1073\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3054\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image.png 1600w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-300x201.png 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-1024x687.png 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-768x515.png 768w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-1536x1030.png 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1600px) 100vw, 1600px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>As DXY continues to break down, the markets are experiencing some mixed sentiments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On one hand, the technicals of the DXY are helping the general markets rally. DXY has broken down from a weekly\/daily parallel channel, and is expected to retest 102.58 or lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the other hand, investors are now questioning how many rate cuts the Federal Reserve will introduce in 2024 \u2013 perhaps even not cutting at all this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For context, <a href=\"https:\/\/ycharts.com\/indicators\/us_inflation_rate#:~:text=US%20Inflation%20Rate%20(I%3AUSIR)&amp;text=US%20Inflation%20Rate%20is%20at,in%20price%20over%20a%20year.\">the last U.S inflation reading (April) was 3.36%<\/a>, but it was previously at 3.1% in January. Additionally, investors were speculating that three rate cuts would happen in 2024, with the first coming in March, the second in June, and the third in September.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, the current <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/markets\/interest-rates\/cme-fedwatch-tool.html\">Fedwatch Tool<\/a> reveals a telling story about the markets\u2019 expectations in June. The aggregated probabilities for interest rates to be held is now sitting at 99.9%, instead of a previously higher expectation for a cut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1600\" height=\"800\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3053\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image.jpeg 1600w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-300x150.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-1024x512.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-768x384.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-1536x768.jpeg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1600px) 100vw, 1600px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Source: Fedwatch Tool<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">So what can we expect this week?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>We\u2019re in for a volatile week ahead because it is a <strong>high impact news week<\/strong>. Key news to keep an eye are:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>U.S. JOLTS Job Openings<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Euro Monetary Policy<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>U.S. Non-Farm Employment Change<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>U.S. Unemployment Rate<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>We\u2019re in a situation where <strong>good economic news can be bad news<\/strong>, because whilst the economy is booming, the Federal Reserve wants employment rates to be low in order for inflation rates to be controlled. So if the unemployment rate has decreased, the market may anticipate the Federal Reserve to have a negative reaction (i.e. continuing to hold rates, delaying rate cuts, or rate hiking).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Currently, we are in a monetary policy driven market. So this week\u2019s news will be crucial in determining how the markets will behave for the next coming weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1600\" height=\"739\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3055\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-1.png 1600w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-1-300x139.png 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-1-1024x473.png 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-1-768x355.png 768w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-1-1536x709.png 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1600px) 100vw, 1600px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Source: <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/forexfactory.com\"><strong>Forex Factory<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Euro Monetary Policy Could Dictate How Dollar Performs<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Additionally, we need to pay attention to the <strong>European Central Bank\u2019s Monetary Policy Statement<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Euro Monetary Policy Statement is crucial in influencing the performance of the Dollar. A dovish statement could lead to a drop in the Euro against the Dollar due to interest rate differentials and potential currency swaps. This dynamic is significant as the Euro&#8217;s interest rate of 4.50% contrasts with the USD&#8217;s 5.50%, impacting currency exchange behaviors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If the interest rate for Euro increases, it could encourage people to swap their dollars into Euros &#8211; causing the Dollar to drop even lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is a significant indicator for the performance of the U.S Dollar, as EURUSD makes up over 60% of the market share in the DXY, which inversely correlates with the S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq, and Bitcoin.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The upcoming Euro Monetary Policy Statement holds the key to determining the Dollar&#8217;s performance in the currency market, shaping trading strategies and investment decisions.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":159,"featured_media":3052,"parent":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","market_insights_categories":[17],"class_list":["post-3051","market_insights","type-market_insights","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","market_insights_categories-opening-bell"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - 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