{"id":23120,"date":"2026-03-03T08:52:30","date_gmt":"2026-03-03T08:52:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/?post_type=market_insights&#038;p=23120"},"modified":"2026-03-03T08:52:32","modified_gmt":"2026-03-03T08:52:32","slug":"crypto-market-cap-march-2026","status":"publish","type":"market_insights","link":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/it\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/crypto-market-cap-march-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Crypto Market Cap May Be at the Beginning Stages of Bottoming Out"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>After reaching 2.05T market cap from its all-time-high of 4.27T &#8211; <em>more than half of its ATH &#8211; <\/em>the crypto markets may be beginning to bottom out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This coincides with its behaviour in 2022, where the crypto market cap fell from 3T to ~750B and began drifting sideways.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A clear technical indication for this setup to reoccur is as follows:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Candle closes outside of the <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/indicators\/bollinger-bands\/\">Weekly 50 EMA band<\/a> (1sd)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/indicators\/stochastic-rsi\/\">Stochastic RSI<\/a> crossing up<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1605\" height=\"939\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-11.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23121\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-11.png 1605w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-11-300x176.png 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-11-1024x599.png 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-11-768x449.png 768w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-11-1536x899.png 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1605px) 100vw, 1605px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Today, we&#8217;re getting a similar setup. The candles are outside of the bands, and the weekly stochastic RSI is in the process of crossing up &#8211; should we end the week positively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key message here is<\/strong>: Crypto Market Cap is beginning to base out. Bitcoin may go sideways or even drift lower, but farther targets like 30K or 16K as the low looks less probable now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Technical Breakdown of TOTAL Chart<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The TOTAL chart represents the crypto market cap in USD value. And looking back, you&#8217;ll actually see that weekly made <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/strategies\/fair-value-gap\/\">Fair Value Gaps<\/a> are well respected (meaning that price tends to pivot from there).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For a true recovery to be made, we need to reclaim the 2.65T &#8211; 2.87T zone, otherwise it remains a cap. Before that however, we have 2.42T &#8211; 2.52T as a potential resistance zone for another drop lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We also need to be cognisant of how this chart translates over to Bitcoin&#8230; And taking a look there, a major resistance zone is panning out at ~74K, where a previous high and a FVG aligns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>TLDR; <\/strong>TOTAL and BTCUSD remains capped under 2.42T and 74K until proven otherwise. A reversal signal building here implies more of a sideways drift (potentially even lower) before true recovery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Closer Look at BTCUSD<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1605\" height=\"939\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-14.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23139\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-14.png 1605w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-14-300x176.png 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-14-1024x599.png 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-14-768x449.png 768w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-14-1536x899.png 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1605px) 100vw, 1605px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The BTCUSD 1W Chart above is not truly indicative of the price action levels to watch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On closer inspection (on this zoomed in chart), we can see that Bitcoin is currently cooling off on an <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/indicators\/anchored-vwap\/\">anchored vWAP<\/a> from 2022, at 64K.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, the <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/strategies\/bearish-flag-pattern\/\">bear flag<\/a> scenario specifies that Bitcoin is capable of reaching 53K, but should we drop even lower to previous lows, it&#8217;d be at approximately 49.7K.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Historically, Bitcoin has always <strong>broken below<\/strong> its anchored vWAP from the prior cycle low (See: highlighted red circles).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A consolidation usually follows before a major rally reversal into a bull run. This behaviour makes 50K a worthy area to watch should we descend lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tertiary Supporting Factor<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1605\" height=\"939\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-15.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23145\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-15.png 1605w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-15-300x176.png 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-15-1024x599.png 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-15-768x449.png 768w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-15-1536x899.png 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1605px) 100vw, 1605px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Last but not least, the USDT Dominance chart (USDT.D) has tapped into a major resistance zone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The stochastic RSI is also forming potential <a href=\"http:\/\/ion\/strategies\/double-top-pattern\/\">double top,<\/a> a bearish reversal signal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since USDT and Bitcoin\/Crypto Market Cap are<strong> inversely correlated<\/strong>, this could mean that relief is near for the crypto market. But, this is by no means a call for an immediate reversal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The sideways narrative still takes precedence here &#8211; especially with all the ongoing geopolitical tensions which will add volatility into Crypto&#8217;s already volatile nature.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Crypto bottoming? TOTAL hits 2T base as BTC eyes 50K support. Technical analysis on EMA bands, FVG resistance, and USDT.D bearish divergence.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":159,"featured_media":23151,"parent":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","market_insights_categories":[18],"class_list":["post-23120","market_insights","type-market_insights","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","market_insights_categories-chart-of-the-day"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Crypto Market Cap May Be at the Beginning Stages of Bottoming Out - Alchemy Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Crypto bottoming? TOTAL hits 2T base as BTC eyes 50K support. 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