{"id":16077,"date":"2025-10-20T11:23:37","date_gmt":"2025-10-20T11:23:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/?post_type=market_insights&#038;p=16077"},"modified":"2025-10-20T11:23:38","modified_gmt":"2025-10-20T11:23:38","slug":"spx-btc-oct-2025","status":"publish","type":"market_insights","link":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/it\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/spx-btc-oct-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Is the Worst Over? SPX and Bitcoin Chart of the Day Analysis"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>With the announcement of new China tariffs, both the S&amp;P 500 and Bitcoin saw sharp corrections last week. However, the U.S. government has since toned down its stance, raising a fair question: <strong>is the correction over?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Technically, that answer depends on how the S&amp;P 500 behaves this week. Bitcoin tends to move in tandem with the index, so if the S&amp;P 500 manages a clean recovery, crypto could follow suit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">S&amp;P 500 Chart of the Day Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Using a <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/indicators\/volume-profile\/\"><strong>Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP)<\/strong><\/a> to assess key levels, the S&amp;P 500 is currently hovering around the <strong>Value Area High (VAH)<\/strong> of its recent rally. While this zone acts as resistance, several factors lean bullish:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The price is currently supported by the <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/indicators\/bollinger-bands\/\">20 EMA Bollinger Bands\u00ae<\/a>, an accurate level of support and resistance.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>S&amp;P 500 has tapped into a lower trendline of an ascending channel \u2014 technically a support level.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A regular bullish divergence has formed on the daily timeframe with the Stochastic RSI.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>CNN Fear &amp; Greed index is printing \u201827\u2019, a fear reading.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1292\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-92.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-16087\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-92.png 2048w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-92-300x189.png 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-92-1024x646.png 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-92-768x485.png 768w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-92-1536x969.png 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2048px) 100vw, 2048px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The gameplan here is simple. Watch how the price reacts around the VAH at ~$6,652.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Bullish scenario:<\/strong> Break and hold above $6,652, with resistance between $6,705 \u2013 $6,730.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Bearish scenario:<\/strong> Breakdown from the channel could open a move to the POC at $6,457, and possibly lower toward $6,384.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1022\" height=\"646\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-91.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-16081\" style=\"width:489px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-91.png 1022w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-91-300x190.png 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-91-768x485.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1022px) 100vw, 1022px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bitcoin Chart of the Day Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Bitcoin has already reacted to a <strong>high-volume node<\/strong> near $103,200, and more importantly, has reclaimed a key <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/indicators\/anchored-vwap\/\">Anchored vWAP<\/a> from the start of its recent rally \u2014 currently at $107,221.64.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Now, price is pressing into the Point of Control (POC) from last week\u2019s decline, sitting around $111,288 \u2014 a level that also aligns with the <strong>May 2025 swing highs<\/strong>, where significant volume traded.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1292\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-93.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-16090\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-93.png 2048w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-93-300x189.png 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-93-1024x646.png 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-93-768x485.png 768w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-93-1536x969.png 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2048px) 100vw, 2048px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>If Bitcoin continues higher, the next area to watch is the Anchored VWAP resistance (from the start of its decline) near $113,977.67; a level that also overlaps with <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/bitcoin-oct-2025\/\">heavy liquidation clusters.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A breakdown from here could pull Bitcoin back to $107,221.64, with deeper support seen around $105,200 \u2013 $103,200, overlapping with the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinglass.com\/liquidation-maxpain\">3D, 1W, and 2W Max Pain levels on Coinglass (~$104,400)<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The Bigger Picture<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Both the S&amp;P 500 and Bitcoin are sitting at major inflection zones. Momentum is cautiously improving, but confirmation still hinges on how equities respond to this week\u2019s earnings and key macro data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\ud83d\uddd3\ufe0f Notable Events This Week<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Earnings Releases:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Netflix (NFLX) \u2013 Tuesday, 22 October<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Tesla (TSLA) \u2013 Wednesday, 23 October<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Coca-Cola (KO) \u2013 Thursday, 24 October<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Intel (INTC) \u2013 Thursday, 24 October<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>IBM (IBM) \u2013 Thursday, 24 October<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Economic Data:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>U.S. CPI Report \u2013 Friday, 24 October, 8:30 a.m. ET<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p>A softer-than-expected CPI print could spark renewed risk appetite across equities and crypto. A hotter-than-expected reading, however, might reignite selling pressure, especially if paired with weak earnings guidance<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Stocks and Bitcoin test key support after tariff shocks. Markets eye S&amp;P 500 rebound and CPI data for signs the correction is finally ending.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":159,"featured_media":16078,"parent":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","market_insights_categories":[18],"class_list":["post-16077","market_insights","type-market_insights","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","market_insights_categories-chart-of-the-day"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Is the Worst Over? SPX and Bitcoin Chart of the Day Analysis - Alchemy Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Stocks and Bitcoin test key support after tariff shocks. 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