{"id":15850,"date":"2025-10-06T19:06:36","date_gmt":"2025-10-06T19:06:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/?post_type=market_insights&#038;p=15850"},"modified":"2025-10-06T19:06:38","modified_gmt":"2025-10-06T19:06:38","slug":"audusd-4-year-trendline-overhead","status":"publish","type":"market_insights","link":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/it\/education\/market-insights\/elliott-wave\/audusd-4-year-trendline-overhead\/","title":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD Elliott Wave: 4-Year Trend Line Holding It Down"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Executive Summary<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Trend Bias<\/strong>: The AUD\/USD pair is rallying within a larger <strong>uptrend<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Initial Rally Target<\/strong>: Near <strong>0.72 <\/strong>where wave (iii) would be equal to the length of wave (i).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Resistance to Watch<\/strong>: A trendline shaped from the 2021 high is holding Aussie down.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The kangaroos are bouncing a little higher these days. Since April, AUDUSD has been grinding higher in a motive wave.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Current Elliott Wave Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"611\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/AUDUSD_2025-10-06_14-03-38-1024x611.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15851\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/AUDUSD_2025-10-06_14-03-38-1024x611.png 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/AUDUSD_2025-10-06_14-03-38-300x179.png 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/AUDUSD_2025-10-06_14-03-38-768x458.png 768w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/AUDUSD_2025-10-06_14-03-38.png 1523w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>It appears that AUD\/USD is currently rallying in wave (iii). We are unsure if the current wave is iii of (iii) or if the current wave is ii of (iii).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Regardless, we anticipate the declines to remain muted and the next trend is higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wave (i) was a <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/guides\/elliott-wave-theory\/\">leading diagonal<\/a> followed by a quick zigzag in wave (ii). Aussie appears to have begun its rally again in wave (iii).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The key level to follow is a <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/guides\/support-and-resistance\/\">resistance trend line<\/a> near the previous high of .67. This 4-year trend line has been in place since 2021<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A break above this trend line will likely coincide with wave three rally at multiple degrees of trend. On a break higher, the near-term target is .72 where wave (iii) would equal wave (i) [<a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/indicators\/fibonacci-extensions\/\">100% Fibonacci extension<\/a>]. Even higher levels are possible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Bottom Line<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>If AUD\/USD is successful in punching above the 4-year resistance trend line, then we anticipate an acceleration of the rally in a third wave at multiple degrees of trend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We anticipate declines would be mild and rallies to grow stronger. If the Aussie prints below .59, then we\u2019ll reconsider the wave count.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The AUDUSD Elliott wave forecast includes a rally. But first, Aussie must break through a 4-year resistance trend line. Read more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":160,"featured_media":15854,"parent":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","market_insights_categories":[16],"class_list":["post-15850","market_insights","type-market_insights","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","market_insights_categories-elliott-wave"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>AUD\/USD Elliott Wave: 4-Year Trend Line Holding It Down - Alchemy Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The AUDUSD Elliott wave forecast includes a rally. But first, Aussie must break through a 4-year resistance trend line. 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