{"id":14766,"date":"2025-08-13T07:39:59","date_gmt":"2025-08-13T07:39:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/?post_type=market_insights&#038;p=14766"},"modified":"2025-08-13T07:40:02","modified_gmt":"2025-08-13T07:40:02","slug":"gold-august-cpi-2025","status":"publish","type":"market_insights","link":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/it\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/gold-august-cpi-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold Eyes Reversal as Softer CPI Boosts Rate-Cut Bets"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>An interesting development just occurred: inflation cooled more than expected.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Core CPI m\/m<\/strong>: 0.3% (Forecast 0.3%, Previous 0.2%)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>CPI m\/m<\/strong>: 0.2% (Forecast 0.2%, Previous 0.3%)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>CPI y\/y<\/strong>: 2.7% (Forecast 2.8%, Previous 2.7%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>While markets have been preoccupied with the tariff and inflation acceleration narrative, the actual CPI print told a different story \u2014 one that strengthens the case for a September Fed rate cut, now priced at over 94% odds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1600\" height=\"1123\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/COTD-25.08.13-Fedwatch.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-14770\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/COTD-25.08.13-Fedwatch.jpg 1600w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/COTD-25.08.13-Fedwatch-300x211.jpg 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/COTD-25.08.13-Fedwatch-1024x719.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/COTD-25.08.13-Fedwatch-768x539.jpg 768w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/COTD-25.08.13-Fedwatch-1536x1078.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1600px) 100vw, 1600px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>This shift has set the stage for risk-on sentiment across equities, with the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq pushing into new all-time highs. Investors are rotating back into growth assets, but that doesn\u2019t mean safe havens are left out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The star of today\u2019s story is actually Gold. Despite its defensive reputation, it stands to benefit from lower interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1536\" height=\"1051\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/COTD-25.08.13.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-14767\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/COTD-25.08.13.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/COTD-25.08.13-300x205.jpg 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/COTD-25.08.13-1024x701.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/COTD-25.08.13-768x526.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1536px) 100vw, 1536px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>On the daily chart, price is holding above the <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/strategies\/fair-value-gap\">Fair Value Gap (FVG)<\/a> + POC support at $3,331<\/strong>, with strong <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/indicators\/anchored-vwap\">anchored VWAPs<\/a> <\/strong>reinforcing the bullish structure. A sustained bid here could open the door to retesting the <strong>$3,430\u2013$3,500<\/strong> resistance zone, especially if rate-cut momentum builds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In other words, even in a risk-on environment, gold is quietly positioning for its own rally\u2026one that could run in parallel with equities as the cost of holding non-yielding assets falls.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold holds $3,331 support after softer CPI lifts Fed cut odds to 94%, eyeing $3,430\u2013$3,500 as equities hit fresh all-time highs.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":159,"featured_media":14773,"parent":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","market_insights_categories":[18],"class_list":["post-14766","market_insights","type-market_insights","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","market_insights_categories-chart-of-the-day"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Gold Eyes Reversal as Softer CPI Boosts Rate-Cut Bets - 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