{"id":13506,"date":"2025-06-26T05:18:14","date_gmt":"2025-06-26T05:18:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/?post_type=market_insights&#038;p=13506"},"modified":"2025-06-26T05:18:14","modified_gmt":"2025-06-26T05:18:14","slug":"btc-nearing-breakout-june-2025","status":"publish","type":"market_insights","link":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/it\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/btc-nearing-breakout-june-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"BTC Nearing Breakout? Price Surges 10% Toward Resistance"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>After a quick dip into the $98K region, Bitcoin has made an amazing recovery of over 10% in just 4 days time. It also formed a clear <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/strategies\/bull-flag-pattern\/\">bull flag<\/a> on the higher timeframes \u2014 a sign and case for bullish continuation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So, is it smooth sailing ahead from here? It\u2019s certainly in the picture.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The fundamentals are aligning for a leg higher \u2014 war tensions are dying down (albeit, this can be shaky due to sudden developments), and U.S. rate cuts are on the table in September.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If we do push past $109,000, Bitcoin could be poised to create another all-time high \u2014 creating what may be, effectively, the final leg up before a blow-off top.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bitcoin\u2019s Major Resistance to Break: $109,097.40<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1536\" height=\"1051\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/COTD-25.06.26-BTCUSDT.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-13509\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/COTD-25.06.26-BTCUSDT.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/COTD-25.06.26-BTCUSDT-300x205.jpg 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/COTD-25.06.26-BTCUSDT-1024x701.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/COTD-25.06.26-BTCUSDT-768x526.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1536px) 100vw, 1536px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Drawing a bull flag connecting the highs and lows (Wicks) from May til June, Bitcoin appears to be a single percent (1%) move away from testing the upper trendline at approximately $108,800.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This level of resistance is significant as it aligns with two major technical levels:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Value Area High <\/strong>from Swing High to Swing Low ($111,980 to $98,200) \u2014 $108,831.30<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/indicators\/fibonacci-retracement\"><strong>78.60% Fib Resistance<\/strong><\/a> from same swing \u2014 $109,097.40<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Here are two scenarios to consider, but keep in mind, they are simplified overviews \u2014 and new catalysts may develop on the news front of things.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>SCENARIO 1 (BULLISH BREAKOUT):<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The most ideal scenario for crypto enthusiasts is that Bitcoin manages to overcome this level with strength \u2014 pushing way beyond $109,000 and then potentially, offering a rebuying opportunity on the retest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This implies that despite major resistances and potential bearish divergences (volume and <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/indicators\/the-rsi-divergence-explained\">RSI<\/a>), buyers were so bullish they invalidated the bearish scenario.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s then likely from here we\u2019ll begin trailing into new All-Time-Highs on Bitcoin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>SCENARIO 2 (CONSOLIDATION):<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The other scenario to watch for is a rejection of the $109,000 zone, then a potential pause at $105,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Supporting a rejection are signs of a weakening rise \u2014 volume is decreasing, and the RSI is <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/strategies\/bearish-divergence-3\/\">potentially forming a bearish divergence<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The $104,720 to $105,000 zone is a <strong><em>prior consolidation range<\/em><\/strong>, making it a potential zone for a reversal. The edges of the zone, and its POC (Point of Control) at $104,728.70, all offer a potential reversal opportunity should a bullish candle be printed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Should this range fail to hold, a drop to $103,000 could be on the cards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>You may also be interested in:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-alchemy-markets wp-block-embed-alchemy-markets\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"3oFnZId944\"><a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/opening-bell\/fed-signals-set-the-stage-for-eur-usd-upside-potential\/\">Fed Signals Set the Stage for EUR\/USD Upside Potential<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"&#8220;Fed Signals Set the Stage for EUR\/USD Upside Potential&#8221; &#8212; Alchemy Markets\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/opening-bell\/fed-signals-set-the-stage-for-eur-usd-upside-potential\/embed\/#?secret=2ZhAzKMc2e#?secret=3oFnZId944\" data-secret=\"3oFnZId944\" width=\"500\" height=\"282\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin rallies 10% in 4 days, nearing key resistance at $109K. Will it break higher or stall? Here are two scenarios traders should watch.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":159,"featured_media":13507,"parent":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","market_insights_categories":[18],"class_list":["post-13506","market_insights","type-market_insights","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","market_insights_categories-chart-of-the-day"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>BTC Nearing Breakout? Price Surges 10% Toward Resistance - Alchemy Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin rallies 10% in 4 days, nearing key resistance at $109K. Will it break higher or stall? 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