{"id":32826,"date":"2026-08-28T11:42:07","date_gmt":"2026-08-28T11:42:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/?post_type=market_insights&#038;p=32826"},"modified":"2026-08-28T11:48:35","modified_gmt":"2026-08-28T11:48:35","slug":"igv-soxx-aug-2026","status":"publish","type":"market_insights","link":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/de\/education\/market-insights\/opening-bell\/igv-soxx-aug-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Salesforce Earnings Shock: Is it time for Software stocks to make a return?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Salesforce\u2019s earnings shock has reopened a question:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote has-vivid-purple-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-829622075aa77c62e4b00d23ade79df6 is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color has-background has-link-color has-medium-font-size wp-elements-26c6b622154dced9018a1449bd1b3a15 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"background-color:#f4ebff\">What if AI does not replace software but makes the strongest platforms more valuable?<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Software stocks have spent much of the AI boom on the wrong side of the trade, from 2025 &#8211; 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Clearly, markets were favouring the fresh and new technology hitting the markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Many software companies were discounted on the fear that AI agents would eventually bypass their interfaces, reduce seat counts and weaken the economics of traditional SaaS.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As a result, S&amp;P 500 Software &amp; Services index fell more than 33% from its October 2025 peak to April 2026 as the market wrestled with AI disruption (as reported by Reuters). But the latest earnings cycle is starting to complicate that story.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Salesforce just gave the market a different answer<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Salesforce just shocked the markets with its recent earnings and guidance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Following a blowout earnings, Salesforce also raised full-year FY27 revenue guidance to <strong>$46.1\u201346.4 billion<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In a single day, the stock&#8217;s ticker (CRM) jumped about 22.6% after its fiscal Q2 results, and the most interesting part is that software companies like CRM was now integrating AI to strengthen their services.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8230;Rather than trying to outdo artificial intelligence.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1300\" height=\"228\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-133.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-32827\" style=\"aspect-ratio:5.702163767501061;width:632px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-133.png 1300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-133-300x53.png 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-133-1024x180.png 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-133-768x135.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1300px) 100vw, 1300px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Their latest partnership involves Anthropic, which allows them to deliver a new product: <strong>Claudeforce<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This puts Claude\u2019s reasoning on top of Salesforce data, workflows, business rules and permissions. The first Salesforce-in-Claude plugin launches with 37 prebuilt sales skills.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1352\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-136.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-32842\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-136.png 2048w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-136-300x198.png 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-136-1024x676.png 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-136-768x507.png 768w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-136-1536x1014.png 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2048px) 100vw, 2048px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The bigger signal is the basket, not one stock<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Salesforce matters because it may be part of a broader rotation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">IGV, the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF, holds 106 stocks, with names such as CrowdStrike, Salesforce, ServiceNow and Adobe among its largest positions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">When compared to SOXX, the semiconductor ETF, you\u2019ll see an interesting trend change\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Software underperformed for more than 374 days <\/strong>before the ratio finally began turning higher. On 27 July, the ratio broke back above its <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/indicators\/bollinger-bands\/\">50-EMA band<\/a>, and the recovery has continued into late August.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1401\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-135.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-32839\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-135.png 2048w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-135-300x205.png 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-135-1024x701.png 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-135-768x525.png 768w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-135-1536x1051.png 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2048px) 100vw, 2048px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If IGV\/SOXX keeps climbing, software is outperforming semiconductors even if the broader market becomes volatile.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As long as that 50-EMA Band (marked by the green zone) is not lost as the relative price continues to climb, the core idea of <strong>rotation into Software stocks <\/strong>is still valid.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Note the EMA Band is simply the Bollinger bands\u00ae indicator with a 50 EMA basis line, and 1 standard deviation. A break beyond that standard deviation implies a &#8222;more than regular&#8220; price change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>AI is becoming revenue, security and governance<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The earnings evidence is also broadening. CrowdStrike reported Q2 revenue of <strong>$1.47 billion<\/strong>, up 26%, while record net-new ARR reached <strong>$333 million<\/strong>, up 51%. Okta\u2019s revenue rose 11%, with CEO Todd McKinnon explicitly arguing that every AI agent needs a trusted identity and controls around what it can access and do.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Workday may be the most useful supporting example: management said AI drove <strong>more than 25% of new ACV<\/strong> in Q2, while more than <strong>5,500 customers<\/strong> now use at least one of its organic agents.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">ServiceNow has already crossed <strong>$1 billion in AI annual contract value<\/strong>, and Adobe says its AI-first ARR has more than tripled year on year to above <strong>$500 million<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1354\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-137.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-32851\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-137.png 2048w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-137-300x198.png 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-137-1024x677.png 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-137-768x508.png 768w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-137-1536x1016.png 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2048px) 100vw, 2048px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The key takeaway is this:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"has-background has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"background-color:#f4ebff\">Several beaten-down software names are starting to hold above the zones that had previously contained them.<br><br>But now, they are finding new niches with the emergence of AI, rather than fighting against.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Okta and ServiceNow are trading above green 50-EMA bands, Workday has reclaimed its slower purple <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/indicators\/exponential-moving-average\/\">200-EMA<\/a> band after a major drawdown, and Adobe has moved back above its blue 100-EMA band. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>What would prove this is a real rotation?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There is still a strong counter-case. One earnings-driven squeeze can look like a regime change before fading, and software remains sensitive to bond yields. IGV also trades at a relatively rich valuation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Its official portfolio data showed a P\/E around 37 as of 26 August, so a fresh rise in long-term yields can quickly challenge the move.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1291\" height=\"688\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-134.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-32833\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1.8765052881426927;width:683px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-134.png 1291w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-134-300x160.png 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-134-1024x546.png 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-134-768x409.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1291px) 100vw, 1291px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bottom Line<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Recent earnings suggest the next leg does not have to come from chips alone. The companies that own enterprise data, permissions, security and workflows are beginning to show that AI can increase the value of their platforms rather than simply replace them. CRM is the headline. IGV\/SOXX is the scoreboard.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Software use to be the KING of tech stocks. Clearly, AI has been in the lead in 2026. But markets are starting to show signs of interest in Software again.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":159,"featured_media":32863,"parent":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","market_insights_categories":[17],"class_list":["post-32826","market_insights","type-market_insights","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","market_insights_categories-opening-bell"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Salesforce Earnings Shock: Is it time for Software stocks to make a return? - Alchemy Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Software use to be the KING of tech stocks. Clearly, AI has been in the lead in 2026. 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