{"id":32764,"date":"2026-08-26T14:10:53","date_gmt":"2026-08-26T14:10:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/?post_type=market_insights&#038;p=32764"},"modified":"2026-08-26T14:15:03","modified_gmt":"2026-08-26T14:15:03","slug":"nvidia-earnings-aug-2026","status":"publish","type":"market_insights","link":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/de\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/nvidia-earnings-aug-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Will Nvidia Beat its Earning Curse After the Bell Today?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nvidia has fallen after each of its last four earnings reports, even though it beat on both revenue and EPS.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That sounds bearish until you look at where the stock was trading before those results. In most cases, Nvidia had already been climbing into earnings. This time it is doing the opposite.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Price has spent the past several sessions pulling back from the breakout and is now sitting closer to support. That makes tonight&#8217;s setup much more interesting than simply assuming the \u201cearnings curse\u201d repeats again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For now, I would leave it alone. Nvidia is due to release results at around <strong>4:20 p.m. ET<\/strong>, with the earnings call at <strong>5:00 p.m. ET<\/strong>. The regular-session move mostly tells us how traders are positioned before the event.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1605\" height=\"939\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-125.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-32765\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-125.png 1605w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-125-300x176.png 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-125-1024x599.png 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-125-768x449.png 768w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-125-1536x899.png 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1605px) 100vw, 1605px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The previous reactions were not all the same either. One quickly turned into sideways trade and a modest recovery, while Nvidia eventually returned to its broader uptrend after the others.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>What Matters Tonight<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Last quarter, Nvidia reported <strong>$81.6 billion<\/strong> in revenue and guided Q2 to <strong>$91.0 billion, plus or minus 2%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The next guide matters more to me than another routine beat. I want to see whether Nvidia can keep pushing revenue expectations higher while holding margins near 75%, with Rubin, China and customer AI spending still the main areas to listen for.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The broader backdrop is also a little friendlier, with oil moving lower and long-end yields easing from recent highs. That helps risk sentiment, but earnings will still do the heavy lifting tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Watch the Retest<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nvidia has broken above the top of a broad <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/strategies\/bull-flag-pattern\/\">bull flag<\/a> and is now coming back towards that breakout area.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Options are pricing roughly a <strong>\u00b15.5%<\/strong> move, putting the first reaction range around <strong>$201.40 to $224.71<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1605\" height=\"939\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-126.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-32771\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-126.png 1605w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-126-300x176.png 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-126-1024x599.png 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-126-768x449.png 768w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/image-126-1536x899.png 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1605px) 100vw, 1605px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure style=\"font-size:16px\" class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>TA read<\/strong><br>\ud83d\udd37 Holding around $210\u2013213 keeps the breakout constructive.<br>\ud83d\udd37 Above $224.71, I would look towards $230\u2013235.<br>\ud83d\udd37 If price drops back inside the channel, $201.40 and then $190\u2013195 become important.<br>\ud83d\udd37 A much deeper move puts the lower channel near $170 back in view.\u00a0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>So what do we do?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Wait for the numbers, then the call, then the reaction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">My bias is mildly bullish because Nvidia is entering the event from a retracement rather than another extended run higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If guidance holds up and buyers defend the breakout area, I would look for the uptrend to start rebuilding from there. If Nvidia sells off again, the wider structure still has room before the bigger bullish picture is damaged.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nvidia reports after the close. Price is pulling back into support, making this setup very different from its previous post-earnings sell-offs.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":159,"featured_media":32777,"parent":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","market_insights_categories":[18],"class_list":["post-32764","market_insights","type-market_insights","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","market_insights_categories-chart-of-the-day"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Will Nvidia Beat its Earning Curse After the Bell Today? - Alchemy Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Nvidia reports after the close. 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