{"id":15984,"date":"2025-10-16T10:41:49","date_gmt":"2025-10-16T10:41:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/?post_type=market_insights&#038;p=15984"},"modified":"2025-10-16T10:42:57","modified_gmt":"2025-10-16T10:42:57","slug":"bitcoin-oct-2025","status":"publish","type":"market_insights","link":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/de\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/bitcoin-oct-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin: Max Pain Zone Tapped \u2014 Bear Trap or Breakdown?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Bitcoin has just revisited the $110K zone, tapping into the max pain area for longs. This comes only weeks after the massive liquidation cascade sparked by Trump\u2019s tariff announcement, which wiped out more than $4.2 billion in leveraged positions \u2014 the largest crypto washout of the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Now, after briefly reclaiming $112K, Bitcoin is teasing lower once again. The market sits at a crossroads: has the worst already been priced in, or is this setting up as a classic bear trap before a sharp reversal?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite Jerome Powell\u2019s dovish tone, Bitcoin continues to underperform traditional markets. The Nasdaq 100 (CFD: USTEC) has rallied more than 3% from recent lows, while BTC struggles to hold above $110K. That weakness hints at lingering caution across crypto, even as equities regain their footing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Bitcoin 1D, 50-EMA Band Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2036\" height=\"1344\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-88.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15990\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-88.png 2036w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-88-300x198.png 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-88-1024x676.png 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-88-768x507.png 768w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-88-1536x1014.png 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2036px) 100vw, 2036px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/indicators\/bollinger-bands\"><strong>50 EMA Bollinger Band\u00ae<\/strong><\/a> (green) remains a critical trend filter. Earlier this year, when Bitcoin fell beneath the band, it triggered a prolonged slide to<strong> $80K<\/strong>, where the band flipped into firm resistance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At present, Bitcoin has again failed to hold above the <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/indicators\/exponential-moving-average\/\">50 EMA<\/a>, rejecting from around <strong>$115K<\/strong> and drifting back below it; a sign that a similar setup could be forming.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There\u2019s also a <strong>larger ascending trendline from 2024<\/strong> that could act as deeper structural support should another cascade unfold. That line currently intersects near $94K, implying a potential &gt;20% correction from all-time highs, historically a common retracement for Bitcoin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Before that, however, several nearer-term levels deserve attention.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Levels to Watch on Bitcoin<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2036\" height=\"1345\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-87.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15986\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-87.png 2036w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-87-300x198.png 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-87-1024x676.png 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-87-768x507.png 768w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-87-1536x1015.png 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2036px) 100vw, 2036px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/indicators\/volume-profile\/\"><strong>Anchored Volume Profile<\/strong><\/a> (mid-2025 anchor) still highlights $110K as the near-term pivot. The next liquidity pocket lies around $107,800, while resistance holds between $112K\u2013$115K.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key zones:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>$112K: <\/strong>First ATH of the year<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>$116K:<\/strong> Previous high aligned with 50-EMA<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>$110K:<\/strong> Current support \/ pivot zone<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>$109K:<\/strong> Minor ascending trendline support<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>$107.8K:<\/strong> Value-area low (VAL)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Momentum remains fragile; a decisive break below the <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/indicators\/relative-strength-index\/\"><strong>RSI<\/strong><\/a>\u2019s rising trendline could drag readings toward the oversold 30 zone, signalling more potential downside.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, once we reach the oversold zone, it\u2019s a signal of seller exhaustion and improved conditions for a short-term relief rally or reversal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A <strong>minor ascending trendline from late August is also converging near $109K<\/strong>. That level has been tapped but we need to see it hold with a daily close higher. Unless Bitcoin reclaims $112K soon, the current move risks being just another dead-cat bounce before deeper pressure resumes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Sentiment and Liquidation Data<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1313\" height=\"720\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-86.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15985\" style=\"width:690px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-86.png 1313w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-86-300x165.png 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-86-1024x562.png 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/image-86-768x421.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1313px) 100vw, 1313px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: Coinglass<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>According to Coinglass, <strong>max pain for longs has already reached near $109,500<\/strong>, suggesting the bulk of forced selling may have played out. However, <strong>max pain for shorts remains higher<\/strong>, meaning a squeeze scenario can\u2019t be ruled out if BTC pushes through $113K with conviction and volume.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For now, the market stays in limbo \u2014 caught between exhaustion and potential reversal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A daily close above $113K would shift bias toward a short-term squeeze, while a break below $109K risks dragging Bitcoin toward deeper support at $107,800.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin retests the $109K \u201cmax pain\u201d zone; are we poised for a bear trap reversal or deeper breakdown ahead? Technical breakdown of key levels.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":159,"featured_media":15994,"parent":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","market_insights_categories":[18],"class_list":["post-15984","market_insights","type-market_insights","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","market_insights_categories-chart-of-the-day"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin: Max Pain Zone Tapped \u2014 Bear Trap or Breakdown? - Alchemy Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin retests the $109K \u201cmax pain\u201d zone; are we poised for a bear trap reversal or deeper breakdown ahead? 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