{"id":15264,"date":"2025-09-10T18:22:37","date_gmt":"2025-09-10T18:22:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/?post_type=market_insights&p=15264"},"modified":"2025-09-10T18:22:39","modified_gmt":"2025-09-10T18:22:39","slug":"ppi-eurusd-sep-2025","status":"publish","type":"market_insights","link":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/de\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/ppi-eurusd-sep-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"PPI Excitement \u2014 What ECB, FedWatch & EUR\/USD are Digesting"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

PPI cooled in August, reading +0.3% M\/M and +2.6% Y\/Y<\/strong>, down from July\u2019s +0.9% and +3.3% readings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report suggests that pipeline inflation pressures are easing more quickly than expected. That matters because it feeds directly into the debate over how quickly the Federal Reserve can pivot to rate cuts. With PPI surprising on the downside, the path for a rate cut seems more likely.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This shift is significant for EUR\/USD because the European Central Bank has been slower to declare victory over inflation.<\/strong> If the Fed is seen cutting first while the ECB stays cautious, the policy gap narrows in the euro\u2019s favour. That dynamic helps explain why the pair has remained bid even as it grinds into long-standing resistance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

EUR\/USD Weekly Grind Into Resistance<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

On the weekly timeframe, EUR\/USD is now testing the $1.1760 \/ $1.1780 zone<\/strong>. This level carries weight: it marks the breakdown point from March 2021<\/strong> and coincides with the 78.6% fib retracement<\/a> of the 2021\u201322 decline. It has acted as a ceiling before, and the market is now probing it again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

A sustained weekly close above $1.1760 would signal a breakout, opening the path toward $1.1850\u2013$1.1900<\/strong> and potentially putting $1.20 back into play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Failure to clear the level would keep EUR\/USD capped and raise the risk of a pullback toward $1.1457 <\/strong>(Value Area High since 2021) and, if U.S. CPI surprises to the upside, even $1.1350 <\/strong>(High volume node near anchored vWAP).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Momentum indicators on the weekly still have room. RSI<\/a> is firm but not stretched or printing a bearish divergence, at least not yet. If we push higher, watch for a potential bearish divergence<\/a> and the creation of a rising wedge pattern.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bigger Picture<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

The softer PPI print has set the tone ahead of Thursday\u2019s CPI release. It has raised confidence in a Fed cut and tilted sentiment toward euro strength, but it hasn\u2019t delivered a breakout yet. The technical picture shows that the euro is pressing against a two-year ceiling, and only CPI will decide whether that resistance finally gives way.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

PPI cooled to +0.3% m\/m and +2.6% y\/y, boosting Fed cut bets. EUR\/USD presses 1.1760 resistance as traders await CPI to confirm or cap the breakout.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":159,"featured_media":15271,"parent":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","market_insights_categories":[18],"class_list":["post-15264","market_insights","type-market_insights","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","market_insights_categories-chart-of-the-day"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nPPI Excitement \u2014 What ECB, FedWatch & EUR\/USD are Digesting - Alchemy Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"PPI cooled to +0.3% m\/m and +2.6% y\/y, boosting Fed cut bets. EUR\/USD presses 1.1760 resistance as traders await CPI to confirm or cap the breakout.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/de\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/ppi-eurusd-sep-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"de_DE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"PPI Excitement \u2014 What ECB, FedWatch & EUR\/USD are Digesting - Alchemy Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"PPI cooled to +0.3% m\/m and +2.6% y\/y, boosting Fed cut bets. EUR\/USD presses 1.1760 resistance as traders await CPI to confirm or cap the breakout.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/ppi-eurusd-sep-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Alchemy Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-09-10T18:22:39+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Cotd-25.09.10-ft.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1408\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"768\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Gesch\u00e4tzte Lesezeit\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"2 Minuten\" \/>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"PPI Excitement \u2014 What ECB, FedWatch & EUR\/USD are Digesting - Alchemy Markets","description":"PPI cooled to +0.3% m\/m and +2.6% y\/y, boosting Fed cut bets. EUR\/USD presses 1.1760 resistance as traders await CPI to confirm or cap the breakout.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/de\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/ppi-eurusd-sep-2025\/","og_locale":"de_DE","og_type":"article","og_title":"PPI Excitement \u2014 What ECB, FedWatch & EUR\/USD are Digesting - Alchemy Markets","og_description":"PPI cooled to +0.3% m\/m and +2.6% y\/y, boosting Fed cut bets. EUR\/USD presses 1.1760 resistance as traders await CPI to confirm or cap the breakout.","og_url":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/ppi-eurusd-sep-2025\/","og_site_name":"Alchemy Markets","article_modified_time":"2025-09-10T18:22:39+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1408,"height":768,"url":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Cotd-25.09.10-ft.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Gesch\u00e4tzte Lesezeit":"2 Minuten"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/ppi-eurusd-sep-2025\/","url":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/ppi-eurusd-sep-2025\/","name":"PPI Excitement \u2014 What ECB, FedWatch & EUR\/USD are Digesting - Alchemy Markets","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/ppi-eurusd-sep-2025\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/ppi-eurusd-sep-2025\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Cotd-25.09.10-ft.jpg","datePublished":"2025-09-10T18:22:37+00:00","dateModified":"2025-09-10T18:22:39+00:00","description":"PPI cooled to +0.3% m\/m and +2.6% y\/y, boosting Fed cut bets. EUR\/USD presses 1.1760 resistance as traders await CPI to confirm or cap the breakout.","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/ppi-eurusd-sep-2025\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"de-DE","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/ppi-eurusd-sep-2025\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"de-DE","@id":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/ppi-eurusd-sep-2025\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Cotd-25.09.10-ft.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Cotd-25.09.10-ft.jpg","width":1408,"height":768},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/ppi-eurusd-sep-2025\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Market Insights","item":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"PPI Excitement \u2014 What ECB, FedWatch & EUR\/USD are Digesting"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/#website","url":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/","name":"Alchemy Markets","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"de-DE"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_insights\/15264","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_insights"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/market_insights"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/159"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15264"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15271"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15264"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"market_insights_categories","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/market_insights_categories?post=15264"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}