{"id":13347,"date":"2025-05-28T08:05:39","date_gmt":"2025-05-28T08:05:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/?post_type=market_insights&#038;p=13347"},"modified":"2025-05-28T09:56:08","modified_gmt":"2025-05-28T09:56:08","slug":"nvidia-earnings-report-may-2025","status":"publish","type":"market_insights","link":"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/de\/education\/market-insights\/chart-of-the-day\/nvidia-earnings-report-may-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Nvidia Earnings Report Sets Stage For Next Market Move"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Nasdaq 100 is currently the driving force of bullish price moves across the S&amp;P 500, Dow Jones, and Bitcoin \u2014 with Nvidia being at the helm of the driver\u2019s seat. And today, Nvidia will be releasing their earnings report, expected to show a 66% year-on-year revenue jump; a print that could either fuel a fresh leg higher or mark the peak of an overextended rally.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So all eyes are on Nvidia today, and until the report is released, the price could stall.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Rising Parallel Channel Contains the NVDA Price<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Nvidia\u2019s daily chart has been clean. Since bottoming at $86.62 in April, the price has been respecting a rising parallel channel, making higher highs and higher lows.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>From an <a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/guides\/elliott-wave-theory\/#:~:text=At%20its%20core%2C%20the%20Elliott,waves%2C%20which%20move%20against%20it.\">Elliot Wave structure perspective,<\/a> this recent leg up could be Wave 3 of a 5-wave impulse, and if that&#8217;s true, we&#8217;re now sitting at a potential pause inside a tight $129.16\u2013$137.40 range.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1536\" height=\"1051\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/OB-25.05.28.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-13350\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/OB-25.05.28.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/OB-25.05.28-300x205.jpg 300w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/OB-25.05.28-1024x701.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/OB-25.05.28-768x526.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1536px) 100vw, 1536px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>A break above this range would signal that Wave 3 isn\u2019t over, and we could tap into $143.44, the previous high and upper trendline of the rising parallel channel. It would also invalidate the current Fib retracement and call for a redraw.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A break below this range would signal the<em> likely formation<\/em> of a wave 4 retracement, back down towards:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>38.2% retracement ($121.22)<\/strong>: Early support zone<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>50% retracement ($116.22)<\/strong>: Classic mean-reversion target<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>61.8% retracement ($111.22)<\/strong>: Deep correction territory \u2014 still valid, but more cautious outlook<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Anything deeper than that, and we\u2019re no longer talking Wave 4 \u2014 we\u2019re likely seeing a broader structure breakdown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Warning Signs Beneath the Surface<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Let\u2019s not get ahead of ourselves. Despite the bullish trend, a few caution lights are flashing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udd38 <strong>RSI divergence<\/strong> has crept in \u2014 price is rising, but RSI isn\u2019t confirming the same strength (see red circle on chart).<br>\ud83d\udd38 <strong>Volume has been falling<\/strong>, even during the recent Wave 3 impulse \u2014 a red flag for trend sustainability.<br>\ud83d\udd38 <strong>$137.40<\/strong> is acting as a cap \u2014 and without volume or earnings momentum, a clean breakout may not come easily.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The Most Important Level: $118<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>If earnings disappoint or even slightly underwhelm, we could see a retracement. The most critical level to watch is <strong>$118<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Why? Because it sits at the cross-section of three key elements:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The broken descending trendline (Now turned support)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The lower boundary of the rising channel<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci retracement zones<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>If price pulls back into $118 and holds, that\u2019s your structural support and potential long setup. If it breaks, 61.8% ($111.22) becomes the key level, but would serve as a warning signal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Earnings Will Decide<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The earnings print today will act as the catalyst for a rise or fall on Nvidia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A beat with strong guidance likely sends NVDA through $137.40, indicating bullish continuation. This would call for a <strong>redraw of the Fibonacci retracements,<\/strong> starting at $95.20 and ending at whatever high Nvidia punches in.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Alternatively, if the year-on-year revenue falls short of expectations (66% gain), or the guidance is underwhelming, expect a retest of the lower channel and a move toward $118.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Market Impact: If-Then Breakdown<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure style=\"font-size:15px\" class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td><strong>If NVDA beats earnings and raises guidance<\/strong><strong><br><\/strong> \u2192 Nasdaq 100 likely surges, with spillover gains in the S&amp;P 500 and Dow<br>\u2192 Bitcoin could push higher on renewed risk-on sentiment<br>\u2192 Gold may pull back slightly as traders favour growth and tech over safety<br><br><strong>If NVDA beats but guidance is flat or cautious<\/strong><strong><br><\/strong> \u2192 Nasdaq may spike briefly, then fade<br>\u2192 S&amp;P 500 holds steady, Dow lags<br>\u2192 Bitcoin likely chops sideways<br>\u2192 Gold remains stable or sees mild safe-haven bids<br><br><strong>If NVDA misses or lowers forward guidance<\/strong><strong><br><\/strong> \u2192 Nasdaq leads a tech pullback<br>\u2192 S&amp;P 500 and Dow follow with moderate downside<br>\u2192 Bitcoin dips as risk appetite cools<br>\u2192 Gold bounces \u2014 flight to safety likely, especially if yields soften<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bottom line<\/strong>: NVDA is the ignition switch. Whether markets accelerate or stall out depends on how strong this earnings engine fires.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>You may also be interested in:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-alchemy-markets wp-block-embed-alchemy-markets\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"RMTcuIsb7O\"><a href=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/elliott-wave\/golds-gleaming-glide-or-grinding-gloom\/\">Gold\u2019s Gleaming Glide or Grinding Gloom? [Gold Elliott Wave]<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"&#8220;Gold\u2019s Gleaming Glide or Grinding Gloom? [Gold Elliott Wave]&#8221; &#8212; Alchemy Markets\" src=\"https:\/\/alchemymarkets.com\/education\/market-insights\/elliott-wave\/golds-gleaming-glide-or-grinding-gloom\/embed\/#?secret=dKwuE4ngyr#?secret=RMTcuIsb7O\" data-secret=\"RMTcuIsb7O\" width=\"500\" height=\"282\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nvidia earnings today could drive Nasdaq, Bitcoin, and gold. Wave 3 or retrace? Key levels and market impact scenarios to watch post-report.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":159,"featured_media":13348,"parent":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","market_insights_categories":[18],"class_list":["post-13347","market_insights","type-market_insights","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","market_insights_categories-chart-of-the-day"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Nvidia Earnings Report Sets Stage For Next Market Move - Alchemy Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Nvidia earnings today could drive Nasdaq, Bitcoin, and gold. Wave 3 or retrace? 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